NFL Playoff Picture 2025: Current Standings, Seeding & Clinching Outlook

🏈 NFL Playoff Picture 2025

Week 15 Standings • Updated After TNF

14 Playoff Spots
3 Weeks Left
8 Division Leaders
AFC

In The Hunt

If the season ended today these teams would make the playoffs

1
Denver Broncos AFC West ↑1
11-2 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs GB
⭐ First Round Bye
If Lose >99%
Current >99%
If Win >99%
2
New England Patriots AFC East ↓1
11-2 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs BUF
If Lose >99%
Current >99%
If Win >99%
3
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South
9-4 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs NYJ
If Lose 93%
Current 98%
If Win 98%
4
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North ↑5
7-6 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs MIA
If Lose 54%
Current 65%
If Win 72%
6
Buffalo Bills Wild Card ↑1
9-4 • 2nd AFC East
Week 15 vs NE
If Lose 94%
Current 97%
If Win >99%
5
Los Angeles Chargers Wild Card
9-4 • 2nd AFC West
Week 15 vs KC
If Lose 65%
Current 74%
If Win 92%
7
Houston Texans Wild Card ↑1
8-5 • 2nd AFC South
Week 15 vs ARI
If Lose 79%
Current 91%
If Win 95%

On The Bubble

These teams would be on the outside looking in if the season ended today

8
Indianapolis Colts ↓2
8-5 • 3rd AFC South
Week 15 vs SEA
If Lose 24%
Current 28%
If Win 53%
9
Baltimore Ravens ↓5
6-7 • 2nd AFC North
Week 15 vs CIN
If Lose 16%
Current 34%
If Win 46%
10
Kansas City Chiefs
6-7 • 3rd AFC West
Week 15 vs LAC
If Lose <1%
Current 12%
If Win 18%
11
Miami Dolphins
6-7 • 3rd AFC East
Week 15 vs PIT
If Lose <1%
Current <1%
If Win 1%
12
Cincinnati Bengals
4-9 • 3rd AFC North
Week 15 vs BAL
If Lose <1%
Current 2%
If Win 5%

Eliminated

These teams have been eliminated from playoff contention

13
New York Jets OUT
3-10 • 4th AFC East
Week 15 vs JAX
Current 0%
14
Cleveland Browns OUT
3-10 • 4th AFC North
Week 15 vs CHI
Current 0%
15
Las Vegas Raiders OUT
2-11 • 4th AFC West
Week 15 vs PHI
Current 0%
16
Tennessee Titans OUT
2-11 • 4th AFC South
Week 15 vs SF
Current 0%
NFC

In The Hunt

If the season ended today these teams would make the playoffs

1
Los Angeles Rams NFC West ↑1
10-3 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs DET
⭐ First Round Bye
If Lose 92%
Current 97%
If Win >99%
2
Green Bay Packers NFC North ↑4
9-3-1 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs DEN
If Lose 88%
Current 94%
If Win 98%
3
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East
8-5 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs LV
If Lose 79%
Current 92%
If Win 95%
4
Carolina Panthers NFC South ↑5
7-6 • 1st in Division
Week 15 vs NO
If Lose 24%
Current 47%
If Win 62%
5
Seattle Seahawks Wild Card
10-3 • 2nd NFC West
Week 15 vs IND
Current 98%
6
San Francisco 49ers Wild Card ↓1
9-4 • 3rd NFC West
Week 15 vs TEN
Current 90%
7
Chicago Bears Wild Card ↓6
9-4 • 2nd NFC North
Week 15 vs CLE
Current 65%

On The Bubble

These teams would be on the outside looking in if the season ended today

8
Detroit Lions
8-5 • 3rd NFC North
Week 15 vs LAR
Current 51%
9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ↓5
7-7 • 2nd NFC South
Week 15 vs ATL
Current 53%
10
Dallas Cowboys ↓1
6-6-1 • 2nd NFC East
Week 15 vs MIN
Current 10%
11
Minnesota Vikings ↑1
5-8 • 4th NFC North
Week 15 vs DAL
Current <1%

Eliminated

These teams have been eliminated from playoff contention

12
Atlanta Falcons OUT
5-9 • 3rd NFC South
Week 15 vs TB
Current 0%
13
Arizona Cardinals OUT
3-10 • 4th NFC West
Week 15 vs HOU
Current 0%
14
New Orleans Saints OUT
3-10 • 4th NFC South
Week 15 vs CAR
Current 0%
15
Washington Commanders OUT
3-10 • 3rd NFC East
Week 15 vs NYG
Current 0%
16
New York Giants OUT
2-11 • 4th NFC East
Week 15 vs WAS
Current 0%
NFL Playoff Picture 2025

2025 NFL Playoff Picture FAQs

How many teams make the NFL playoffs?

14 teams make the NFL playoffs each season – 7 from the AFC and 7 from the NFC. Each conference’s playoff bracket includes four division winners (seeded 1-4) and three wild card teams (seeded 5-7). The top seed in each conference earns a first-round bye.

How is NFL playoff seeding determined?

Playoff seeding is determined by win-loss record, with tiebreakers applied when necessary. The four division winners are seeded 1-4 based on their records, regardless of wild card team records. Seeds 5-7 go to the three non-division winners with the best records. Tiebreakers include head-to-head results, division record, common games, conference record, and strength of victory.

What does “In The Hunt” mean in the playoff picture?

“In The Hunt” refers to the seven teams in each conference that currently hold playoff positions. If the regular season ended today, these teams would qualify for the postseason. However, with games remaining, these positions can change weekly based on game results and tiebreakers.

What does “On The Bubble” mean?

“On The Bubble” describes teams currently outside the playoff picture but still mathematically alive for a postseason berth. These teams (typically seeds 8-16) need to win games and have other results fall their way to climb into a playoff spot before the regular season ends.

How are playoff probability percentages calculated?

Playoff probabilities are calculated using advanced algorithms that factor in current standings, remaining schedule strength, head-to-head records, division records, and thousands of season simulations. The percentages show each team’s likelihood of making the playoffs based on these variables. Teams with higher win percentages against stronger opponents typically have better playoff odds.

When can a team clinch a playoff spot?

A team clinches a playoff spot when their position is mathematically secured, meaning no combination of remaining game results can eliminate them from the postseason. This typically happens when a team’s wins exceed what other teams can achieve, or when they win their division outright. Clinching scenarios vary based on conference standings and remaining schedules.

How often is the NFL playoff picture updated?

The NFL playoff picture is updated after every game throughout the regular season. Major updates occur after each week’s games conclude, typically by Monday night or Tuesday morning. During the final weeks of the season, standings can shift dramatically with each game, making daily updates crucial for tracking playoff races and clinching scenarios.

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