Drake Maye’s journey to Super Bowl LX is a remarkable turnaround story. The 23-year-old quarterback has led the New England Patriots from a 4-13 disaster to the Super Bowl in just his second NFL season. Super Bowl LX takes place February 8, 2026 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
This guide covers Maye’s current MVP odds, his complete 2025-26 season statistics, and expert predictions for the championship game against the Seattle Seahawks.
Drake Maye Super Bowl MVP Odds
Drake Maye sits as the second betting choice to win Super Bowl LX MVP. His odds are +235 at most major sportsbooks despite the Patriots being 3.5-point underdogs to Seattle. A $10 bet on Maye would return $33.50 total if he captures the award.
Current Super Bowl LX MVP Odds:
| Player | Position | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | QB | Seahawks | +130 |
| Drake Maye | QB | Patriots | +235 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | Seahawks | +550 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | Seahawks | +650 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | Patriots | +2500 |
These odds show Maye plays for the underdog but remains second choice for MVP. Quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP 34 times in NFL history. That’s far more than any other position.
His playoff struggles raise questions about whether he can deliver on the biggest stage.
Drake Maye 2025-26 Season Stats & Records
Regular Season Performance
Maye had a spectacular second season with the Patriots. He led the team to a 14-3 record and the AFC East division title. His performance earned him Second Team All-Pro honors and a second consecutive Pro Bowl selection.
2025 Regular Season Statistics:
| Category | Stats | NFL Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Games Played | 17 | – |
| Record as Starter | 14-3 | T-1st |
| Completions/Attempts | 354/492 | – |
| Completion Percentage | 72.0% | 1st |
| Passing Yards | 4,394 | 4th |
| Yards Per Attempt | 8.9 | – |
| Passing Touchdowns | 31 | 3rd |
| Interceptions | 8 | – |
| Passer Rating | 113.5 | 1st |
| QBR | 77.2 | 1st |
| Rushing Yards | 450 | – |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 4 | – |
Maye led the entire NFL in three categories: 72% completion rate, 113.5 passer rating, and 77.2 QBR. The Patriots improved by 10 wins from 2024 to 2025. This tied the NFL record for biggest single-season turnaround.
Maye set a Patriots franchise record with 91.3% completion in one game. He completed 21 of 23 passes while throwing for 222 yards and two touchdowns.
Against the Jets in Week 17, Maye became the first QB to complete over 90% of his passes while throwing for 250+ yards and 5 touchdowns in one game. He posted a 99.8 QBR, the highest value in the stat’s history.
Drake Maye 2026 Playoff Stats
The playoffs have been a different story for Maye. He has faced three consecutive top-5 defenses and struggled with turnovers and accuracy. His numbers dropped significantly from the regular season.
Wild Card vs Los Angeles Chargers (W 16-3):
| Category | Stats |
|---|---|
| Completions/Attempts | 17/29 |
| Passing Yards | 268 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 |
| Rushing Yards | 66 |
The Patriots defense dominated this game. Maye’s accuracy struggled but his 66 rushing yards kept drives alive.
Divisional Round vs Houston Texans (W 28-16):
| Category | Stats |
|---|---|
| Completions/Attempts | 16/27 |
| Passing Yards | 179 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Interceptions | 1 |
| Fumbles | 4 (2 lost) |
Maye threw three touchdowns but fumbled four times. His ball security issues nearly cost the game. He delivered a clutch 32-yard touchdown to seal the victory.
AFC Championship vs Denver Broncos (W 10-7):
| Category | Stats |
|---|---|
| Completions/Attempts | 10/21 |
| Passing Yards | 86 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 |
| Rushing Yards | 65 |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 1 |
Blizzard conditions made passing impossible. Maye rushed for 65 yards and scored the game’s only offensive touchdown. His legs won the game as he picked up critical first downs late.
Combined Playoff Stats (3 games):
| Category | Stats |
|---|---|
| Completions/Attempts | 43/77 |
| Completion Percentage | 55.8% |
| Total Passing Yards | 533 |
| Passing Touchdowns | 4 |
| Interceptions | 2 |
| Rushing Yards | 131 |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 1 |
| Times Sacked | 10 |
| Fumbles | 6 (3 lost) |
The completion rate dropped from 72% in the regular season to 55.8% in the playoffs. Turnover issues have been the biggest concern heading into the Super Bowl.
Career Highlights at a Glance
Personal Information:
- Age 23 (born August 30, 2002)
- Second-youngest QB to start Super Bowl (after Dan Marino)
- Drafted 3rd overall by Patriots in 2024
- Height: 6-4, Weight: 225 lbs
Career Achievements:
- 2x Pro Bowl (2024, 2025)
- 2nd Team All-Pro (2025)
- Regular Season MVP finalist (2025)
- Led 10-win improvement (tied NFL record)
- First division title for Patriots since 2019
Notable Records:
- Set Patriots record: 91.3% completion in one game
- First QB with 90%+ completion, 250+ yards, 5 TDs in one game
- 0.418 EPA/pass (4th highest since 2016)
- First QB to face three top-5 defenses in one playoff run
Drake Maye’s Road to Super Bowl LX
The Patriots selected Maye third overall in the 2024 draft. His rookie season was rough with a 4-13 record. Maye went 3-10 as a starter with 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
The Patriots hired Mike Vrabel as head coach before 2025. Vrabel cited Maye as a major reason he took the job. Maye led a 14-3 record, tying the NFL record for biggest 10-win improvement.
The Patriots went 9-0 on the road during 2025. They became only the second team to go undefeated on the road with a first-year head coach.
Maye now faces Sam Darnold and the Seahawks. Both quarterbacks are making their first Super Bowl appearance.
Super Bowl 2026 Performance Predictions
Expected Stats
Oddsmakers set Maye’s passing yardage around 225 yards.
Projected Stats:
- Passing Yards: 180-220
- Touchdowns: 1-2
- Interceptions: 0-1
- Rushing Yards: 50-70
- Completion Percentage: 55-65%
The Patriots will lean on defense and running game. Maye’s rushing ability could be crucial in a low-scoring game.
Key Strengths
Dual-Threat Ability: Maye has rushed for 131 yards in three playoff games. He can extend plays and pick up critical first downs. Seattle must account for his mobility.
Clutch Performance: Maye has delivered key plays in crucial moments. His touchdown to Boutte against Houston came when the Patriots needed it most.
Elite Regular Season Form: If Maye plays like he did in the regular season, the Patriots can win. His 72% completion rate and 113.5 passer rating show his ceiling.
Strong Supporting Cast: The Patriots defense ranks 4th and has forced 12 turnovers in the playoffs. Rhamondre Stevenson provides a strong running game.
Major Concerns
Playoff Struggles: Maye’s completion rate dropped 16 percentage points from regular season to playoffs. His decision-making has been questionable at times.
Turnover Problems: Six fumbles with three lost plus two interceptions in three games is alarming. The Patriots cannot afford to give Seattle short fields.
Pressure Issues: Maye has been sacked 10 times in three playoff games. His sack rate more than doubled from the regular season.
Facing Elite Defense: The Seahawks ranked first in points allowed. They have not committed a turnover in the playoffs.
Our Final Prediction
The Seahawks win 27-20. Seattle’s defense limits Maye throughout the game. Maye throws for 195 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. He adds 58 rushing yards but it’s not enough.
Sam Darnold wins Super Bowl MVP. The Seahawks’ defense proves to be the difference. Maye shows flashes but cannot overcome his playoff struggles.
Drake Maye Super Bowl 2026 FAQs
What are Drake Maye’s MVP odds for Super Bowl 2026?
Drake Maye has +235 odds to win Super Bowl MVP. He is the second choice behind Sam Darnold at +130. A $10 bet would return $33.50 total if he wins the award.
How did Drake Maye perform in the 2025 season?
Maye led the NFL with 72% completion rate and 113.5 passer rating. He threw for 4,394 yards with 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. He led the Patriots to a 14-3 record and earned Second Team All-Pro honors.
Has Drake Maye ever won a Super Bowl?
No. Drake Maye has never won a Super Bowl. This is his first Super Bowl appearance. The game takes place on February 8, 2026.
Who is favored to win Super Bowl 2026?
The Seattle Seahawks are favored by 3.5 points over the New England Patriots. Most experts predict a Seahawks victory based on their elite defense.
