Week 11 brings us 15 exciting matchups across the NFL landscape. The playoff picture starts to take shape as we hit the midpoint of the season. Only the Colts and Saints enjoy their bye week while the rest of the league battles it out.
The Patriots look to extend their seven-game winning streak against the struggling Jets on Thursday night. Sunday features a historic game in Madrid as the Dolphins host the Commanders in Spain.
The week culminates with a potential NFC Championship preview as the Lions visit the Eagles on Sunday Night Football.
Quick Picks Recap
| Date | Matchup | Pick | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 13 | Jets at Patriots | Patriots | 33-16 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Commanders at Dolphins | Dolphins | 35-23 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Panthers at Falcons | Falcons | 23-20 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Buccaneers at Bills | Buccaneers | 27-24 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Texans at Titans | Texans | 27-9 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Bears at Vikings | Vikings | 23-21 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Packers at Giants | Packers | 23-20 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Bengals at Steelers | Steelers | 27-26 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Chargers at Jaguars | Chargers | 20-17 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Seahawks at Rams | Rams | 27-24 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | 49ers at Cardinals | 49ers | 28-20 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Ravens at Browns | Ravens | 38-17 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Chiefs at Broncos | Chiefs | 23-20 |
| Sun, Nov 16 | Lions at Eagles | Lions | 30-24 |
| Mon, Nov 17 | Cowboys at Raiders | Cowboys | 31-20 |
We also made a Free Printable NFL Week 11 Pick’em Sheet for you. Hope you enjoy it.
Week 11 Storylines to Watch
The Patriots chase their ninth win of the season and sit atop the AFC East with an 8-2 record. Drake Maye continues his MVP-caliber campaign and leads one of the most surprising teams in football. The Jets traded away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams at the deadline and clearly play for 2026.
The NFC features two marquee matchups that could preview the conference championship. The Seahawks and Rams meet in an NFC West showdown between 7-2 teams. The Lions travel to Philadelphia to face the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles in primetime. Both games carry massive playoff seeding implications.
The Broncos ride a seven-game winning streak into their crucial divisional matchup with Kansas City. Denver sits at 8-2 while the Chiefs struggle at 5-4. A Broncos victory would essentially end Kansas City’s nine-year reign atop the AFC West.
The Giants fired head coach Brian Daboll on Monday after another disappointing season. Interim coach Mike Kafka takes over and faces the Packers in his first game. The Cowboys added Logan Wilson and Quinnen Williams at the trade deadline to bolster their defense for a second-half push.
Thursday Night Football – November 13
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video – Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
The Patriots roll into Thursday night on a seven-game winning streak. They sit at 8-2 and control the AFC East. Drake Maye looks like a legitimate MVP candidate and transforms this offense. The defense plays well enough to win games and the team shows no signs of slowing down.
The Jets limp into Foxborough at 2-7 after trading their two best defensive players. Justin Fields struggled mightily in Week 10 against Cleveland with just 54 passing yards. The offense generated only 187 total yards and scored 14 points on special teams returns. The Jets essentially wave the white flag on 2025 and build for next season.
This game sets up as a mismatch. The Patriots should cruise to their eighth straight victory. New England becomes the first team to nine wins this season. The Jets lack the talent and motivation to keep this game competitive. Expect the Patriots to grab an early lead and never look back.
Pick: Patriots 33, Jets 16
Sunday Early Games – November 16
Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins
Kickoff: 9:30 AM ET on NFL Network – Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain
The NFL makes history with its first game in Spain. The Commanders stumble to 3-7 after a disastrous season. Jayden Daniels sits out with a dislocated elbow. Dan Quinn takes over defensive play-calling duties in a desperate move. This team came within one game of the Super Bowl last year and now faces a lost season.
The Dolphins upset the Bills in Week 10 and show signs of life. They score points and play competitive football under Mike McDaniel. The offense can stretch the field and create explosive plays. Miami sits at 3-7 but plays with more urgency than Washington.
The Dolphins take care of business at their neutral site home. They run all over the Commanders defense and win by multiple scores. Washington falls to 3-8 and sees their season officially end. Miami stacks wins and avoids further embarrassment.
Pick: Dolphins 35, Commanders 23
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX – Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
The Panthers shocked everyone by reaching 5-4 before losing to the Saints in Week 10. Bryce Young continues to struggle in his third season. The franchise quarterback questions grow louder each week. Carolina sits at 5-5 and watches their playoff hopes fade.
The Falcons took the Colts to overtime and hang with good teams this year. The defense plays solid football but Michael Penix Jr struggles at quarterback. Raheem Morris feels the pressure as his job security wavers. Atlanta needs wins to stay relevant in the NFC South race.
The home team pulls out a tight victory. Both teams play inconsistent football but the Falcons find a way to win. Carolina drops their second straight game and falls further from playoff contention. Atlanta moves forward with a crucial division win.
Pick: Falcons 23, Panthers 20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS – Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Both teams enter angry after disappointing losses. The Buccaneers fell to the Patriots at home in Week 10. The Bills got blown out by the Dolphins in Miami. Josh Allen will give his typical somber press conference about needing to play better.
Baker Mayfield plays better football than Allen this season. Tampa Bay brings superior weapons on offense. The Bucs roster looks more complete from top to bottom. The Bills sometimes get streaky and could lose consecutive games for the second time this year.
This game turns into a shootout with neither defense playing well. Tampa Bay edges out Buffalo in a high-scoring affair. The Buccaneers win by a field goal and move to 7-3. The Bills fall to 6-4 and face questions about their Super Bowl aspirations.
Pick: Buccaneers 27, Bills 24
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX – Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
The Texans shut out the Titans a few weeks ago and look to repeat that performance. Houston started 0-3 but won four of their last six games. CJ Stroud may return from his concussion. The offensive line still struggles but the team finds ways to win.
The Titans sit at 1-8 as the worst team in football. They fired their head coach and start rookie Cam Ward. The team plays for draft positioning and next season. Tennessee inches closer to securing the first overall pick for the second straight year.
Houston blows out Tennessee for the second time this season. The Texans improve to 5-5 and get back on track. Even if Davis Mills starts again, Houston wins big. The Titans cannot compete against divisional opponents.
Pick: Texans 27, Titans 9
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX – Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
The Bears rallied past the Giants in Week 10 and move to 6-3. Caleb Williams shows improvement under first-year coach Ben Johnson. Chicago keeps pace with Detroit in the NFC North race. The defense still needs work but the offense progresses nicely.
The Vikings lost a tough game to Baltimore at home. JJ McCarthy struggled in that game but beat Chicago earlier this season. Minnesota plays at home and holds a slight edge. Kevin O’Connell proves himself as one of the better coaches in football.
The Vikings defense makes a crucial late-game play to secure victory. JJ McCarthy bounces back from recent struggles. Minnesota wins a close game by two points. The NFC North stays crowded and uncertain heading into the final stretch.
Pick: Vikings 23, Bears 21
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX – Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
The Giants fired Brian Daboll after multiple blown fourth quarter leads. Mike Kafka takes over as interim head coach. The team plays motivated football fresh off a coaching change. Jaxson Dart may miss this game with a concussion.
The Packers played Monday Night Football and travel on a short week. Green Bay struggles to meet preseason expectations. This game screams trap game with all the circumstances. The Packers need to stack wins and build momentum.
Green Bay pulls out a close victory but not without drama. They kick a late field goal to take the lead. The Packers defense prevents a Giants comeback. Russell Wilson or Jameis Winston likely starts for New York if Dart cannot play.
Pick: Packers 23, Giants 20
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS – Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
The Bengals come off their bye week at 3-6. Cincinnati lost a dramatic game to Chicago in Week 9. The defense might be the worst in the NFL. The Steelers lost badly to the Chargers on Sunday Night Football and fall to 5-4.
Pittsburgh holds a slim AFC North lead but the Ravens close fast. Mike Tomlin never finishes with a losing record as head coach. The Steelers need wins to fend off Baltimore. Cincinnati brings the stronger offense but struggles on defense.
Pittsburgh wins a one-point game at home. The Steelers improve to 6-4 and maintain their division lead. Cincinnati scores plenty of points but cannot stop Pittsburgh. The Bengals fall to 3-7 and watch their season slip away.
Pick: Steelers 27, Bengals 26
Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS – Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
The Chargers beat Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football and move to 7-3. Los Angeles deals with injuries to both starting tackles and their running back room. They play on a short week and travel across the country. The Jaguars sit at 5-4 after blowing a lead against Houston.
Trevor Lawrence plays poorly this season. Jacksonville needs to evaluate their quarterback situation this offseason. First-year coach Liam Coen does a solid job but the roster lacks talent. The Jaguars overachieve at 5-4 but face reality in Week 11.
Los Angeles wins a low-scoring defensive battle. The Chargers improve to 8-3 despite their injury issues. Jacksonville drops to 5-5 and sees playoff hopes fade. Both defenses play stingy football but LA makes enough plays to win.
Pick: Chargers 20, Jaguars 17
Sunday Late Games
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET on FOX – Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
This game could preview the NFC Championship. Both teams sit at 7-2 and battle for NFC West supremacy. Matthew Stafford plays the best football of his career. Sam Darnold broke out with Minnesota last year and signed with Seattle this offseason.
The Rams get the home field advantage. Stafford and Sean McVay form one of the best QB-coach duos in football. Seattle brings an aggressive defense that can disrupt any offense. This game features two high-powered attacks.
Los Angeles wins on a late field goal in a shootout. Both offenses score multiple touchdowns. The Rams move to 8-2 and take control of the division. Seattle falls to 7-3 but stays in the race. The winner likely hosts the NFC Championship.
Pick: Rams 27, Seahawks 24
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET on FOX – Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Both teams lost badly in Week 10 to division opponents. The 49ers sit at 6-4 despite numerous injuries. Mac Jones starts at quarterback with Brock Purdy out with a toe injury. San Francisco plays a soft schedule and can still make the playoffs.
The Cardinals start Jacoby Brissett with Kyler Murray sidelined. Arizona looks like they soft-benched Murray before his foot injury. Brissett plays functional football but nothing special. The Cardinals sit at the bottom of the NFC West.
San Francisco rebounds with a road victory. The 49ers improve to 7-4 and stay in playoff position. Mac Jones does enough to guide the offense to victory. Arizona drops another game and evaluates their future at quarterback.
Pick: 49ers 28, Cardinals 20
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET on CBS – Location: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
The Ravens win three straight games and climb to 4-5. They started 1-5 but get healthy at the right time. Baltimore just beat Minnesota on the road. The Steelers trend downward and could be tied with the Ravens atop the AFC North after this week.
The Browns rank among the worst teams in football. Dillon Gabriel plays poorly as expected for a rookie. Cleveland lost to the Jets in Week 10. The Browns need a legitimate quarterback prospect in the 2026 draft.
Baltimore throttles Cleveland in a blowout victory. The Ravens win their fourth straight game and move to 5-5. Cleveland cannot compete with a healthy Baltimore team. The Ravens thrust themselves back into the playoff picture.
Pick: Ravens 38, Browns 17
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET on CBS – Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
This game decides the AFC West race. Denver rides a seven-game winning streak to 8-2. The Broncos own the best pass rush in football and the longest home winning streak in the NFL. Kansas City struggles at 5-4 and goes 0-4 in one-score games.
The Chiefs come off their bye week. Andy Reid coaches extremely well after bye weeks. Kansas City needs this win to stay relevant in the division race. A loss drops them to 5-5 and four games behind Denver.
Kansas City pulls out a close victory. The Chiefs win their first one-score game of the season. Denver falls to 8-3 but stays atop the division. The AFC West race tightens considerably after this game.
Pick: Chiefs 23, Broncos 20
Sunday Night Football
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles
Kickoff: 8:20 PM ET on NBC – Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
This game could preview the NFC Championship. The Lions bounce back from their loss to Minnesota with a dominant win over Washington. Dan Campbell takes over play-calling duties from offensive coordinator John Morton. Detroit sits at 6-3 and wants revenge for playoff disappointment.
The Eagles defend their Super Bowl title at 6-2. Philadelphia added Jaelan Phillips, Michael Carter, and Jaire Alexander at the trade deadline. The defense shows improvement in recent weeks. The Eagles stack wins year after year under Nick Sirianni.
Detroit pulls out a road victory in primetime. The Lions trust Jared Goff more than the Eagles trust Jalen Hurts. Campbell’s play-calling makes the difference. Detroit scores late to win by six points and move to 7-3.
Pick: Lions 30, Eagles 24
Monday Night Football – November 17
Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders
Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET on ESPN – Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
The Cowboys sit at 3-5-1 after their bye week. Dallas made huge moves at the trade deadline by acquiring Logan Wilson and Quinnen Williams. Both players bolster a struggling defense. Jerry Jones deserves credit for making win-now moves.
The Raiders cannot do anything right at 2-7. They traded for Geno Smith and drafted Ashton Jeanty in the top 10. Pete Carroll faces questions about his future after one disappointing season. Las Vegas plays poor football on both sides of the ball.
Dallas dominates with their improved defense. The Cowboys run all over Las Vegas and win by double digits. The offense takes advantage of a weak Raiders defense. Dallas starts stacking wins in the second half of the season.
Pick: Cowboys 31, Raiders 20
Game Analysis and Key Matchups
The Patriots prove they belong among the AFC elite. Their seven-game winning streak comes against increasingly difficult competition. Drake Maye transforms the offense and makes plays with his arm and legs. The defense plays complementary football and forces key turnovers. New England positions itself for a first-round bye.
The NFC West features two elite teams in the Rams and Seahawks. Both squads win with elite quarterback play and creative coaching. The division winner is likely to host the conference championship game. Matthew Stafford deserves MVP consideration with his outstanding play. Sam Darnold continues his career resurgence in Seattle.
The AFC North remains a mess with injuries and inconsistent play. The Ravens get healthy at the perfect time and stack wins. Pittsburgh needs to hold off Baltimore down the stretch. The Bengals and Browns sit at the bottom with major roster questions. The division race comes down to the final few weeks.
Final Thoughts
Week 11 brings clarity to the playoff picture in both conferences. The Patriots and Broncos sit atop their divisions with statement wins. The NFC features multiple Super Bowl contenders including the Lions, Eagles, Rams and Seahawks. The second half of the season promises exciting football.
The trade deadline moves start paying dividends for several teams. The Eagles defense improves with their new additions. The Cowboys get better on defense with Wilson and Williams. The Jets and Browns sell off assets and play for next season. Front office decisions made in late October shape the playoff race.
Division races heat up across the league. The AFC West, NFC North, and NFC West remain wide open. Every game carries playoff seeding implications. Teams cannot afford slip-ups down the stretch. Week 11 sets the stage for an exciting finish to the regular season.
